Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 5-0
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
HAP
0 - 1
HKS
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
MPT
1 - 2
HAP
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
HAP
1 - 1
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2008 |
HAP
0 - 0
BEI
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BSA
0 - 1
HAP
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 1
MUR
25%
23%
53%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
JUV
6 - 5
TFI
33%
25%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIB
35%
24%
40%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TFI
2 - 1
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |