Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
BNE
1 - 1
HAP
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
GÖT
1 - 3
HAP
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
HAP
1 - 2
MAC
59%
25%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
HAP
3 - 2
SAK
67%
22%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
HAP
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
GÖT
2 - 2
HÄC
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
GÖT
1 - 3
HAP
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
TRE
2 - 1
GÖT
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
GÖT
3 - 1
TRE
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
AIK
1 - 0
GÖT
33%
27%
39%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |