Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 3-2
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs FC Urartu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
HKS
1 - 6
HAP
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2003 |
HAP
1 - 1
HAP
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
BNE
1 - 3
HAP
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2003 |
HAP
4 - 1
BEI
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MPT
1 - 0
HAP
27%
28%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Urartu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2003 |
ARA
0 - 7
BAN
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BAN
9 - 0
DYE
81%
13%
5%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
KOT
0 - 2
BAN
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
BAN
4 - 0
ARA
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SHI
1 - 2
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |