Cup Israel Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Kfar Saba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
HKS
2 - 2
IRO
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
HAP
1 - 1
HKS
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
HAP
0 - 2
HKS
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
HKS
1 - 0
HAP
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
HKS
1 - 1
HAP
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
HBL
3 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 6
BNE
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
ASH
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
BEI
2 - 1
MAC
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
SAK
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |