Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
IKS
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
IKS
3 - 2
BEI
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ASH
2 - 0
IKS
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
IKS
2 - 2
MAC
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
HAP
2 - 0
IKS
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
DEC
0 - 1
MOG
36%
30%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
MOG
4 - 0
LOV
66%
22%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
PET
1 - 2
MOG
42%
28%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MOG
4 - 1
KOM
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
BUD
5 - 6
MOG
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |