Cup Israel Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Hapoel Hadera vs Kafr Qasim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Hadera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HEH
1 - 2
HBS
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
HEH
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
HEH
0 - 4
BNE
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
HKQ
2 - 3
HEH
14%
17%
70%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ASH
2 - 3
HEH
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kafr Qasim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
HKQ
2 - 3
HEH
14%
17%
70%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
HKQ
1 - 0
IKS
10%
15%
75%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
HHH
2 - 0
HKQ
9%
16%
76%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
HKQ
3 - 1
HKB
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
HKQ
4 - 0
MST
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |