Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 5-3
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
PGL
0 - 1
HBS
40%
25%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
ZAL
1 - 2
HBS
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
LPO
3 - 0
HBS
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
HBS
2 - 0
BSA
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
BEI
1 - 1
HBS
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
PAK
0 - 1
BUD
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BUD
1 - 0
FHV
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
DVS
2 - 5
BUD
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BUD
2 - 1
MTK
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MEZ
1 - 5
BUD
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |