Cup Israel Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
49.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Afula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
HAP
1 - 1
HAP
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
HAP
1 - 1
HAP
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
HAP
1 - 0
HBL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
HAP
3 - 1
ASH
37%
25%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
HAP
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BNE
0 - 2
BEI
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HAP
3 - 2
BNE
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BNE
0 - 0
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
BNE
2 - 0
HAP
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
HAP
0 - 0
BNE
26%
29%
46%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |