Hanwell Town vs Marlow FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
19º
11º
19
11º
22º
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
22º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 96 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 90 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 77 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 76 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 73 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 68 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 63 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 60 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 57 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 57 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 54 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 54 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 52 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 50 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
21º
|
25 | 46 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 46 |
16º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 46 |
17º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 45 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 44 |
19º
|
13% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 44 |
20º
|
12.5% | |
|
20º
|
26 | 40 |
21º
|
27% | |
|
|
22º
|
19 | 27 |
22º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hanwell Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
HAN
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 0
SWI
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 1
BRA
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +4 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WIM
1 - 0
HAN
49%
22%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 3
SLO
12%
17%
72%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Marlow FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
POO
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 0
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
WIN
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 1
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |