Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hansa Rostock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1974 |
SGD
1 - 0
ROS
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
BFC
0 - 0
ROS
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
ROS
1 - 2
ZWI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
CHE
2 - 1
ROS
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
ROS
2 - 3
MAG
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1974 |
ERF
2 - 0
BFC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
ZWI
2 - 0
ERF
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1974 |
ERF
3 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
MAG
4 - 0
ERF
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
ERF
1 - 2
CZJ
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |