Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hansa Rostock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
BSG
0 - 2
ROS
24%
23%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
ROS
3 - 0
NIC
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
ROS
0 - 1
ZWI
60%
23%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
BFC
1 - 3
ROS
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
LOK
1 - 1
ROS
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
ERF
3 - 0
LOK
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
VOW
5 - 0
ERF
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
ERF
0 - 0
FCU
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
CZJ
1 - 0
ERF
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
ERF
5 - 2
HAL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |