Hansa Rostock vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hansa Rostock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
FVF
1 - 2
ROS
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
ROS
2 - 0
SGD
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
MAG
3 - 1
ROS
72%
17%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
ROS
1 - 5
LOK
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
COT
0 - 0
ROS
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
BWA
2 - 0
CHL
52%
25%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
CHE
4 - 1
BWA
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
BWA
2 - 0
BSG
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
CZJ
3 - 2
BWA
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
FVF
3 - 1
BWA
65%
18%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |