DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 8-2
Hannover 96 vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
HAN
3 - 0
WAL
66%
19%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
AAA
3 - 2
HAN
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
WAT
2 - 2
HAN
44%
23%
34%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
HAN
3 - 3
FRE
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
USO
2 - 3
HAN
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
ROT
4 - 2
WAT
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
WAT
1 - 1
HES
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
WAT
2 - 2
HAN
44%
23%
34%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
SCF
2 - 0
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
WAT
2 - 2
KÖL
49%
24%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |