Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
8º
24
1º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
STP
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EBT
2 - 0
HAN
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 0
FCN
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 1
HAN
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 1
KAI
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 2
S04
25%
22%
54%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
S04
2 - 2
HER
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 2
S04
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
S04
3 - 5
DAR
44%
24%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 0
S04
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |