Hannover 96 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1976 |
HSV
3 - 0
HAN
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
HAN
2 - 0
KAI
39%
23%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
HAN
3 - 3
KOL
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
MON
2 - 0
HAN
83%
12%
6%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
OFC
1 - 0
HAN
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
MSV
2 - 3
MON
19%
22%
60%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
OFC
2 - 1
MSV
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
MSV
1 - 3
S04
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1976 |
F95
1 - 3
MSV
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1975 |
MSV
0 - 1
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |