Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1979 |
AHA
3 - 2
HAN
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1979 |
HAN
4 - 1
RWL
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
HAN
2 - 1
LEV
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
KÖL
4 - 1
HAN
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1979 |
ROT
2 - 2
HAN
75%
15%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1979 |
HOL
5 - 0
RWL
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1979 |
LEV
2 - 1
HOL
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
FCN
7 - 1
HOL
80%
12%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
HOL
2 - 0
AHA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
ROT
2 - 0
HOL
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |