Hannover 96 vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
8º
25
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 0
HAN
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
ULM
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
HAN
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
DAR
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 2
MAG
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
PRE
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SGF
2 - 1
HER
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
ULM
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |