Hannover 96 vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
50.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
8º
7º
10
1º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 50% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 0
HAN
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
HAN
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 0
SSV
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
WOL
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 3
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MEP
1 - 7
HSV
10%
15%
75%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HSV
1 - 1
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
HSV
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
HSV
0 - 0
ARI
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HSV
0 - 3
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |