Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
OFC
0 - 2
HAN
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
HAN
2 - 2
WAL
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
MON
2 - 3
HAN
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
HAN
2 - 3
TEN
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
LUB
0 - 1
HAN
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
FCN
2 - 1
KÖL
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
KÖL
2 - 1
M05
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
COT
2 - 0
KÖL
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
WER
3 - 1
KÖL
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |