Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
8º
33
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 39 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
16º
|
30% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 20% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
HSV
2 - 2
HAN
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
HAN
2 - 2
PRE
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SSV
0 - 1
HAN
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
YOB
1 - 2
HAN
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
HAN
0 - 3
MAG
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
F95
3 - 2
ULM
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
KSC
2 - 3
F95
40%
24%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
F95
2 - 2
DAR
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
F95
3 - 2
BOG
45%
23%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
F95
0 - 1
FEY
33%
23%
44%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |