Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
Hannover 96 vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
NEU
1 - 0
HAN
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
FCB
1 - 0
HAN
87%
9%
5%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
EIN
0 - 1
HAN
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
HAN
2 - 1
FCB
37%
25%
39%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
HAN
0 - 1
MUN
30%
23%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
FCB
0 - 0
ELC
78%
13%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
ZAR
0 - 0
FCB
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
FCB
1 - 0
HAN
87%
9%
5%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
FCB
4 - 2
ESP
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
ATM
0 - 1
FCB
67%
19%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |