Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
Hannover 96 vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
HAN
0 - 1
MUN
30%
23%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1966 |
HAN
2 - 4
HSV
36%
22%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
BRE
3 - 3
HAN
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
HAN
1 - 1
KOL
28%
23%
49%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1965 |
HAN
0 - 3
MSV
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
FCB
3 - 1
CCF
80%
13%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
VCF
0 - 2
FCB
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
FCB
3 - 0
PON
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
BET
0 - 0
FCB
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1966 |
FCB
5 - 0
SAB
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |