Hankofen-Hailing vs Schweinfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
15º
18º
16º
21
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hankofen-Hailing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 0
HAH
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
HAH
1 - 3
VIL
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
HAH
13%
20%
68%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
HAH
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HAH
2 - 1
REG
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Schweinfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
AUB
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
SGB
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 0
TSV
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
FRA
27%
21%
52%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
TSK
0 - 4
SCH
8%
14%
78%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |