Hankofen-Hailing vs Bayern München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
15º
18º
16º
18
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hankofen-Hailing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NUR
2 - 2
HAH
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAH
2 - 1
ANS
28%
22%
50%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
4 - 1
HAH
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAH
4 - 2
TSA
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 2
HAH
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 2
AUB
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 4
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 1
VIK
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 2
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |