Haninge vs Smedby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
2º
1º
18
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 37 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 31 |
9º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
44% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 15 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 35% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haninge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ENS
0 - 3
HAN
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
5 - 1
ATV
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HUD
3 - 2
HAN
24%
23%
54%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 1
NYK
50%
22%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SYL
2 - 1
HAN
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SME
0 - 2
ASI
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 1
SME
20%
20%
60%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ENS
0 - 0
SME
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SME
1 - 2
UTS
8%
16%
75%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SME
0 - 2
ATV
28%
24%
49%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |