Hamrun Spartans vs Pieta Hotspurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
1º
12
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 4
HAM
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 3
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 1
HAM
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
LSO
1 - 2
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 1
LSO
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pieta Hotspurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
PIE
0 - 6
VAL
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FLO
2 - 0
PIE
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GUD
0 - 0
PIE
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
PIE
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MOS
5 - 3
PIE
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |