Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 7
HAM
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
HIB
1 - 2
HAM
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
LIJ
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 0
FLO
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 3
HAM
14%
23%
63%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 0
MOS
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
NAX
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAX
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 4
SLI
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |