Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
FTC
2 - 1
HAM
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 6
FTC
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
DTB
0 - 1
HAM
55%
22%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
DTB
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
HAM
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
NEM
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 0
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
DOM
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 4
BAL
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 1
BAL
37%
24%
38%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |