Hammer SpVg vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
SPR
2 - 0
HAM
49%
23%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 2
ABI
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GIE
1 - 1
HAM
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 0
HAM
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 0
ENN
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ERK
5 - 0
WAT
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ENN
3 - 2
ERK
30%
23%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ERK
1 - 1
GUT
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 1
ERK
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ERK
2 - 2
ERN
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |