Hammer SpVg vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ISE
0 - 2
HAM
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
HAM
3 - 2
SPO
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
HAM
1 - 1
LIP
19%
24%
58%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
HAM
1 - 2
WAT
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
S04
2 - 0
HAM
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ERK
0 - 1
LIP
24%
26%
50%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
GUT
4 - 1
ERK
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ERK
2 - 2
WAT
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
S04
2 - 1
ERK
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ERK
2 - 1
ERH
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |