DFB Pokal 1/64
Global 5-4
Hammer SpVg vs Concordia Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
COH
2 - 2
HAM
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
ARB
5 - 2
HAM
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
HAM
0 - 1
HAM
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
WUP
5 - 0
HAM
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
HAM
1 - 1
PRE
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
COH
2 - 2
HAM
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
SUL
2 - 0
COH
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 0
COH
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1977 |
COH
2 - 0
BAY
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
HAN
1 - 1
COH
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |