Hammarby IF vs Varbergs BoIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
MFK
1 - 0
HIF
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
HIF
2 - 2
SES
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
HIF
3 - 1
DIO
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
PUS
3 - 2
HIF
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 0
HIF
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 1
TRE
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
4 - 0
TRO
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
VAR
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 0
DEG
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |