Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-2
Hammarby IF vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.8%
9.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
GEF
1 - 0
HIF
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
HIF
3 - 0
GÖT
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
HIF
1 - 2
AIK
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
ELF
4 - 2
HIF
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
IKB
1 - 2
HIF
33%
27%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
LIN
2 - 1
TIR
41%
23%
37%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
TIR
1 - 0
LIN
71%
16%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 0
TIR
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
TIR
2 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
TIR
1 - 1
SDL
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |