Europa League 1/16
Global 5-4
Hammarby IF vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
TRE
2 - 3
HIF
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
HIF
4 - 0
OFK
79%
13%
9%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
HIF
1 - 1
GÖT
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
OFK
1 - 3
HIF
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
OIF
1 - 2
HIF
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 0
STM
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
STM
1 - 0
DUN
60%
21%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
CEL
2 - 0
STM
60%
21%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
STM
3 - 0
SLP
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
STM
1 - 0
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |