Hammarby IF vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
3º
25
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 63 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 49 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 49 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 44 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 31 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
2% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
58% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GÖT
0 - 1
HIF
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
IFS
1 - 6
HIF
13%
19%
69%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HIF
0 - 0
GAI
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 3
HIF
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 3
BRO
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 3
HÄC
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
MJÄ
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
PIT
1 - 3
NOR
7%
14%
79%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
VAS
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |