Hammarby IF vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
11º
2º
21
11º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 52 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 49 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 48 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 47 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 32 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 31 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
58% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GAI
0 - 0
HIF
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HIF
2 - 2
IFK
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 1
HIF
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DJU
0 - 3
HIF
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
SIR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 0
GÖT
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 0
NOR
33%
24%
42%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
LSK
2 - 0
GÖT
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 0
ELF
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
AIK
5 - 2
GÖT
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |