Hammarby IF vs GAIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
3º
39
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 63 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 49 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 49 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 44 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 31 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
2% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
58% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 3
HIF
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 3
BRO
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 4
HIF
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
MJÄ
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BRO
0 - 2
HIF
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
GAIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 4
GAI
18%
21%
61%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GAI
3 - 1
HAL
41%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 1
GAI
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GAI
0 - 1
NOR
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
AIK
0 - 1
GAI
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |