Europa League Last 16
Global 3-4
Hammarby IF vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
STM
1 - 2
HIF
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
HIF
3 - 3
STM
56%
20%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
TRE
2 - 3
HIF
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
HIF
4 - 0
OFK
79%
13%
9%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
HIF
1 - 1
GÖT
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
F95
1 - 3
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
KOL
3 - 1
FCN
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
BOH
2 - 4
KOL
23%
26%
52%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
KFC
3 - 2
KOL
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
HSV
0 - 0
KOL
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |