Hamm / Sieg vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamm / Sieg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
GUT
2 - 2
HAM
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
HAM
1 - 1
GUT
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
URH
6 - 4
HAM
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
HES
4 - 5
ARB
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1987 |
AAA
2 - 1
HES
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
HES
4 - 2
SCF
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1987 |
EBT
3 - 0
HES
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1987 |
HES
2 - 3
WAT
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |