DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 3-3
Hamm / Sieg vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamm / Sieg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
URH
6 - 4
HAM
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1978 |
KSC
3 - 0
GUT
83%
11%
6%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GUT
1 - 1
KSC
25%
26%
50%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
GUT
4 - 1
ENO
81%
12%
6%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
GUT
0 - 6
HOM
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
TFW
2 - 3
GUT
12%
18%
71%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |