HamKam vs Viking Stavanger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
16º
12º
40
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 40 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HamKam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
FFK
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 2
HAM
42%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 0
TRO
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
SDF
1 - 2
HAM
40%
25%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
KFU
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Viking Stavanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 0
MFK
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 0
VKG
20%
23%
58%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VKG
2 - 0
KRI
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 2
VKG
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VKG
4 - 2
RBK
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |