HamKam vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
16º
12º
34
2º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HamKam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 2
HAM
42%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 0
TRO
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
SDF
1 - 2
HAM
40%
25%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
KFU
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
BBS
17%
21%
62%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 0
MFK
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
KRI
3 - 1
FFK
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ELF
0 - 0
FFK
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SDF
4 - 2
FFK
33%
24%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 1
FFK
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |