Hamilton Wanderers vs Western Springs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
44.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
11º
6º
29
4º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 0
TAK
88%
8%
4%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
2 - 2
NGA
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
6 - 1
HAW
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 1
MEL
61%
18%
21%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 4
HAW
13%
15%
72%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 2
WES
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WES
3 - 2
AUC
7%
12%
82%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | +5 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 3
WES
17%
18%
65%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
WES
3 - 1
BAO
79%
13%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 4
WES
8%
12%
81%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |