Hamilton Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis

Hamilton Wanderers Wellington Phoenix II
51 ELO 48
11.9% Tilt 11%
11970º General ELO ranking 10085º
32º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
49.2%
Hamilton Wanderers
23.2%
Draw
27.5%
Wellington Phoenix II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
Hamilton Wanderers
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.5%
Win probability
Wellington Phoenix II
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamilton Wanderers
-27%
-30%
Wellington Phoenix II

ELO progression

Hamilton Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamilton Wanderers
Hamilton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2018
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
0 - 1
Auckland City
AUC
16%
25%
60%
50 74 24 0
25 Nov. 2018
CAN
Canterbury United
3 - 3
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
73%
17%
9%
49 64 15 +1
18 Nov. 2018
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
0 - 2
Eastern Suburbs
EAS
20%
25%
55%
50 64 14 -1
11 Nov. 2018
HAW
Hawkes Bay United
0 - 2
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
73%
16%
11%
48 59 11 +2
04 Nov. 2018
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
0 - 1
Southern United
SOU
40%
24%
36%
49 53 4 -1

Matches

Wellington Phoenix II
Wellington Phoenix II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2018
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
1 - 2
Southern United
SOU
45%
23%
32%
50 55 5 0
25 Nov. 2018
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
0 - 3
Auckland City
AUC
20%
25%
55%
50 72 22 0
18 Nov. 2018
TAS
Tasman United
3 - 2
Wellington Phoenix II
WEL
61%
21%
18%
50 57 7 0
11 Nov. 2018
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
2 - 3
Canterbury United
CAN
24%
24%
51%
50 65 15 0
03 Nov. 2018
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
1 - 5
Waitakere United
WAI
37%
24%
39%
52 58 6 -2