Hamilton Wanderers vs Northern AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.2%
Win probability
4.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.8%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.4%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.6%
1.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HAW
1 - 4
MUF
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HAW
0 - 4
CAS
32%
20%
48%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
7 - 0
HAW
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HAW
0 - 5
AUC
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
HAW
5 - 1
NGA
87%
8%
4%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 0
NAF
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 1
MUF
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAO
3 - 1
NAF
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
6 - 3
NAF
88%
8%
3%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NAF
0 - 3
WNK
30%
21%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |