Hamilton Wanderers vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TAS
2 - 3
HAW
70%
17%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 4
WEL
41%
22%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
4 - 0
HAW
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HAW
0 - 5
AUC
7%
20%
73%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 0
EAS
6%
18%
76%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HAW
4 - 2
WAI
54%
21%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
HAW
34%
23%
43%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 3
EAS
27%
25%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 2
HAW
54%
22%
23%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 0
TAS
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |