Hamilton Wanderers vs Auckland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
12º
12º
40
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
HAW
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 1
WCR
58%
19%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 6
HAW
21%
18%
61%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
HAW
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 2
TCU
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
MAN
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 0
AFC
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 1
NGA
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BAO
0 - 1
AFC
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |