Hamilton Thunder vs Durham Storm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
TCR
2 - 1
HAM
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
FLS
1 - 0
HAM
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
SCT
0 - 0
HAM
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
HAM
3 - 2
LON
78%
15%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 3
HAM
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Durham Storm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
HAM
2 - 3
DUR
13%
20%
67%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
SHO
3 - 4
DUR
16%
21%
63%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
SCW
0 - 4
DUR
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
DUR
0 - 2
BRA
71%
17%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
DUR
1 - 2
NOR
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |