Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
HAM
1 - 0
NEW
84%
10%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BRO
1 - 1
HAM
33%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
HAM
3 - 1
EDG
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
WBE
1 - 3
HAM
11%
18%
71%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 2
LAM
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valentine Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
EDG
4 - 2
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
BRO
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +3 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 2
WBE
29%
22%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LAM
2 - 3
VAL
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 2
ADR
15%
18%
68%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |