Newcastle Olympic vs Lake Macquarie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
EDG
2 - 1
HAM
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
HAM
1 - 1
LAM
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 0
HAM
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
WBE
1 - 2
HAM
9%
16%
75%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HAM
2 - 0
WBE
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
LAK
2 - 4
EDG
7%
15%
78%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LAK
0 - 1
NEW
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
4 - 1
LAK
66%
19%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LAM
5 - 1
LAK
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LAK
2 - 1
LAM
13%
19%
69%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +2 |